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L9

Substrates & Interconnect

IC substrate and advanced PCB manufacturers. ABF substrates are the connective layer between chip and board — Ibiden holds near-monopoly on ABF substrate supply for leading-edge CPUs and GPUs. This layer was the hidden bottleneck of the 2021-2022 chip shortage.

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HYPOTHESIS

Structurally undercovered. ABF substrate capacity is a multi-year constraint for AI chip volume — NVIDIA Blackwell, AMD MI300, Intel Meteor Lake all require Ibiden ABF. Low analyst coverage relative to strategic importance. Key differentiation within L9: Ibiden and Unimicron have lower consumer electronics exposure and higher AI server substrate exposure — making them preferred holdings vs Nan Ya PCB and Kinsus which carry more consumer end-market risk and face more revenue growth pressure through cycles.

CAPITAL CYCLE
Capex/Depreciation: 1.6x

ABF substrate capacity expansion underway but 18-24 month lead times mean supply remains tight through 2026-2027.

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BETA SPY
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BETA SOXX
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CONSTITUENTS
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OPTIONS ELIGIBLE
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INTRA-LAYER CORRELATION

Single constituent — intra-layer correlation not applicable.

CONSTITUENTS
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TICKERCOMPANYLASTCHG%β SPYβ SOXXSIGNALSTAGS
IDBDY
Ibiden Co
Dominant supplier of ABF (Ajinomoto Build-up Film) substrates used in virtually every high-end CPU a...
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packaging_playai_infrastructurelong
UMICY
Unimicron Technology
Major IC substrate and PCB manufacturer. Supplies substrates to TSMC packaging ecosystem and major f...
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packaging_play
KINSF
Kinsus Interconnect
Specialty IC substrate manufacturer focused on mobile and AI chip packaging....
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packaging_play
NYPBF
Nan Ya PCB
Taiwan-based PCB and IC substrate manufacturer. Part of the Formosa Plastics group. Higher consumer ...
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packaging_play
SEMILENS v0.1 · Data via Tradier Production API · Not financial adviceBeta research: 5Y daily · Loading...