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L6

Fabless Design

Chip designers with no manufacturing — all production outsourced to foundries. The highest-margin, highest-multiple layer. Nvidia is the defining company of this era.

peak
HYPOTHESIS

NVDA will show β_SOXX > 2.0 and will distort layer-level analytics — treat as gravity well. AMD and the rest should cluster around β_SOXX 1.3–1.6. MRVL is the custom silicon thesis.

CAPITAL CYCLE
Capex/Depreciation: 0.3x

Fabless companies do not own fabs — capex/depreciation ratio is structurally low. Cycle position refers to end-demand: AI capex is at or near peak intensity for this wave.

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BETA SPY
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BETA SOXX
6
CONSTITUENTS
6
OPTIONS ELIGIBLE
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INTRA-LAYER CORRELATION

Single constituent — intra-layer correlation not applicable.

CONSTITUENTS
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TICKERCOMPANYLASTCHG%β SPYβ SOXXSIGNALSTAGS
NVDA
Nvidia Corporation
The defining company of the AI infrastructure era. H100/H200/Blackwell GPU demand has created the la...
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OPTIONS
ai_infrastructuregravity_welllong
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices
Primary challenger to Nvidia in AI GPUs and Intel in data center CPUs. MI300X gaining traction as hy...
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OPTIONS
ai_infrastructure
QCOM
Qualcomm
Dominant mobile SoC designer. Snapdragon platform powers most premium Android devices. Diversifying ...
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OPTIONS
analog_moat
AVGO
Broadcom
Infrastructure semiconductor and software conglomerate. Custom AI ASIC designer for Google (TPU) and...
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OPTIONS
ai_infrastructureoptical
MRVL
Marvell Technology
Custom silicon designer for hyperscaler AI ASICs. The picks-and-shovels play on the custom chip wave...
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OPTIONS
ai_infrastructureopticalcapital_cycle
MCHP
Microchip Technology
Microcontrollers and analog for embedded applications. Industrial and automotive end-markets. In a d...
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OPTIONS
analog_moatwatch
SEMILENS v0.1 · Data via Tradier Production API · Not financial adviceBeta research: 5Y daily · Loading...