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L4

Memory / HBM

DRAM, NAND flash, and High Bandwidth Memory manufacturers. Classic commodity cycle dynamics, but HBM has introduced a new structural demand signal tied directly to AI GPU shipments.

early
HYPOTHESIS

Highest expected intra-layer correlation of any group (r > 0.85). MU, SK Hynix, and Samsung are all pricing off the same HBM demand signal from Nvidia. The memory cycle and the AI capex cycle are now coupled. SNDK adds a pure-play NAND angle — different sub-cycle from DRAM/HBM.

CAPITAL CYCLE
Capex/Depreciation: 1.2x

Coming out of a deep NAND/DRAM trough. HBM is pulling the cycle forward faster than traditional DRAM recovery would suggest. NAND prices up 80-100% in Q2 2026.

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BETA SPY
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BETA SOXX
5
CONSTITUENTS
3
OPTIONS ELIGIBLE
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INTRA-LAYER CORRELATION

Single constituent — intra-layer correlation not applicable.

CONSTITUENTS
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TICKERCOMPANYLASTCHG%β SPYβ SOXXSIGNALSTAGS
MU
Micron Technology
Only US-headquartered DRAM and NAND manufacturer. Rapidly scaling HBM3E production for Nvidia H200 a...
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OPTIONS
hbmai_infrastructurelong
HXSCL
SK Hynix
First-mover in HBM3E. SK Hynix supplies the HBM stack for Nvidia H100 and H200 — effectively sole-so...
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hbmai_infrastructure
SSNLF
Samsung Electronics
Largest memory manufacturer globally. Trailing SK Hynix in HBM qualification but has dominant NAND s...
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hbm
SNDK
SanDisk Corporation
Pure-play NAND flash company spun off from Western Digital in 2024. AI training datasets, checkpoint...
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OPTIONS
nandai_infrastructurelong
STX
Seagate Technology
Leading hard disk drive manufacturer and mass storage provider. AI training datasets and inference c...
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OPTIONS
ai_infrastructurehbm
SEMILENS v0.1 · Data via Tradier Production API · Not financial adviceBeta research: 5Y daily · Loading...